Richard,
What are the assumptions behind the half life curve? For example, does it assume a constant UV exposure? Over the course of a day, I would assume that UV exposure varies quite a bit depending on the individual's pool. Factors such as sun angle, shade and pool covers will vary the results substantially. The evedence sited could be due to other factors and not necessarily the CYA level although that would contribute to it as well. So to correlate CYA levels to protection of chlorine other factors must be taken into consideration:
1) CYA level - probably is dominate factor
2) Pool latitude and time of year
3) Shade and what time of day
4) Pool cover usage
5) How often pool is used
6) How much organics are dropped in the pool
Although items 2-6 may be secondary, I am not sure they can be ignored. I suspect that this is why there are such varying results for different levels of CYA.
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